β†–οΈŽ Vishal Singh
vishalsingh.org Β· A Booklet

American Stories

Nine investigations into how American newspapers narrated catastrophe, racial violence, war, and reform between 1898 and 1933 β€” each built from one digitized archive and one contextual-measurement method, explained first.

By
Vishal Singh Β· NYU Stern
Published
July 2026
Corpus
American Stories Β· 1898–1933
Contents
1 method chapter Β· 9 investigations
Who this data representsEvery investigation here reads the same source: English-language newspapers digitized by the Library of Congress's Chronicling America and processed by the American Stories corpus β€” not every newspaper, reader, or point of view. GABRIEL scores the visible emphasis of a story's text, not its author's intent or the historical truth of what it claims.

This booklet collects nine studies of the early-twentieth-century American press. They ask a common question in different settings β€” how did newspapers turn an event into public meaning? β€” and answer it with a common apparatus. Chapter 1 explains that apparatus: the archive the articles are drawn from, and the method used to measure them. The nine investigations follow, grouped into three parts. Each is a standalone article; this front matter binds them into one reading and one method.

Chapter 1 Β· The Data and the Method

The corpus: American Stories

American Stories (dell-research-harvard/AmericanStories on Hugging Face) is article-level text extracted from nearly 20 million Chronicling America newspaper scans held by the Library of Congress. Rather than a single page image, each row is one detected article β€” a headline, a byline where present, and the OCR'd body text β€” recovered by learned layout-recognition and optical-character-recognition models built by the Dell Research group. The supported range is 1770–1964 (with gaps in the eighteenth century), stored as one compressed archive per year; a single year runs roughly 6 GB.

β‰ˆ20M
Chronicling America scans behind the corpus
1770–1964
supported year range, one archive per year
article-level
one row = one detected article, not a page
public domain
LoC-digitized papers; CC-licensed release

What one row is β€” and what it is not

An article record carries the newspaper's identity, edition, date, page, headline, byline, and OCR text; the underlying scan records additionally retain Library of Congress metadata and the page's layout regions. That is enough to place a story in time, on a page, and β€” through the newspaper's LoC entry β€” in a state.

It is not a census of American opinion. The corpus is the public-domain papers Chronicling America chose to digitize, then read by imperfect models. Coverage varies by state, newspaper, and date; OCR introduces noise; segmentation can split or merge stories; and a newspaper's claims may themselves be false or deliberately misleading. Every investigation is written around those limits rather than against them.

The method: GABRIEL contextual measurement

The frames in these articles are measured with GABRIEL, an open-source framework for contextual measurement with language models. For a given study it takes a codebook of constructs β€” interpretive frames such as "employer responsibility" or "white-supremacy endorsement" β€” and asks a language model to score, on a 0–100 salience scale, how strongly each article foregrounds each frame, returning a supporting evidence quote for every judgment. Scoring runs on GPT-4o mini at temperature 0 through OpenAI's Batch API, which makes a full event cheap to measure (a 30-article, two-model feasibility pilot produced 120 valid structured judgments for about six cents; a full event runs on the order of ten dollars).

The load-bearing discipline is that relevance is measured separately from framing. Whether an article is even about the event is decided by its own relevance prompt and threshold; it is never inferred from the construct scores. A frame score of 0–100 is a claim about textual emphasis, not about truth or author intent.

The per-event pipeline

Turning a raw year-archive into an investigation follows the same seven stages every time:

  1. Bound the window. Fix an event window and a baseline, and keep an all-article denominator so "attention" is a share of everything printed, not just of what was retrieved.
  2. Retrieve broadly. A deliberately wide, deterministic, auditable keyword pass pulls candidate articles β€” tuned to over-include, so relevance is decided in the next stage, not here.
  3. Screen relevance. A separate GABRIEL relevance prompt keeps the articles that actually concern the event (a score above a set threshold), discarding the rest.
  4. Score constructs. The relevant articles are rated 0–100 on each frame in the codebook, each rating carrying an evidence quote.
  5. Cluster reprints. Near-duplicate wire and syndicated stories are grouped, so a single dispatch reprinted in 200 papers can be counted once (cluster-weighted) rather than 200 times.
  6. Recover geography. Each newspaper's publication state comes from its LoC metadata β€” a property of the outlet, not the author or audience β€” with an explicit unknown group kept visible.
  7. Aggregate and gate. Article- and cluster-weighted estimates are computed and passed through validation gates (null-rate checks, range checks, manual review of the highest- and lowest-scored articles) before anything is charted.

How to read the numbers

Three conventions recur across the nine chapters. A salience score (0–100) is the average visible emphasis of a frame, not its truth. Cluster weighting gives one vote to a story, not one vote to every reprint of it β€” so the article- vs. cluster-weighted gap itself measures what the wire amplified. And an attention line is always a share of the full detected-article denominator, so it tracks coverage rather than how much of that year happens to be digitized.

Fuller method dossier. The representation funnel, formal estimands, bias register, and quality gates are documented in What American Stories Can Represent. The forward research agenda and a DuckDB field manual of verified queries are in From Events to Eras.

The Investigations

The nine studies are grouped into three parts. Order within each part is roughly chronological; the grouping is thematic, and easy to re-sort. Each entry links to the full self-contained article.

Part I
The Nation and Its Others β€” War, Race, and the Vote
Three studies of how the press narrated force and belonging: war abroad, racial violence at home, and the expansion of the franchise.
01
The War the Papers Talked Themselves Into
USS Maine Β· Feb.–Mar. 1898 Β· 30,229 articles
The myth is that newspapers blamed Spain the instant the Maine exploded. The record shows caution first, and certainty manufactured over six weeks.
49.8 vs. 27.1  "await the inquiry" caution versus Spanish-guilt assertion in the first 48 hours
02
The Coup America Called Order
Wilmington Β· Oct.–Nov. 1898 Β· 1,624 articles
Papers often saw plainly that armed men had overthrown an elected biracial government β€” and still made the seizure look like the restoration of legitimate white rule.
67 vs. 14  white-supremacy endorsement versus condemnation of racial violence
03
The Vote Was Won. The Argument Wasn't.
Suffrage ratification Β· Aug.–Sept. 1920 Β· 9,359 articles
Ratification did not end the suffrage argument; it reorganized it around citizenship, constitutional legitimacy, and a redrawn electoral map.
59.9  democratic-legitimacy salience, the strongest post-ratification frame
Part II
Catastrophe and the National Audience
Three studies of how disaster coverage traveled β€” from local spectacle to national solidarity β€” and of whom it chose to see.
04
When the Earthquake Became Everyone's Story
San Francisco Β· Apr. 1906 Β· 24,014 articles
The 1906 earthquake entered thousands of distant papers, where catastrophe became spectacle, relief became local, and the same stories traveled press to press.
13.5%  of all digitized articles concerned the disaster at the peak
05
The Dead They Didn't Count
Titanic Β· Apr. 1912 Β· 18,863 articles
The press blamed the company and mourned the spectacle when the Titanic sank β€” but left the immigrant poor of steerage, who died in the greatest numbers, nearly invisible.
5.5  immigrant / steerage identity β€” the lowest-salience frame of eleven
06
The Mask and the SermonPilot
Influenza Β· Fall 1918 Β· descriptive pilot
A descriptive pilot on 1918 influenza newspaper attention and reprint patterns. Frame-level contextual scoring is validated separately and still pending.
103Γ—  candidate-article share surge, September baseline to mid-October peak
Part III
Danger, Blame, and the Regulatory State
Three studies of how new hazards β€” industrial, mechanical, moral β€” were argued from private misfortune into public responsibility.
07
The Fire That Put New York on Trial
Triangle fire Β· Mar.–Apr. 1911 Β· 973 articles
The Triangle fire became a national story about young working women β€” and, in New York, a local argument that private industry had created a public failure demanding regulation.
45 vs. 32  regulatory-reform salience in New York versus the South
08
When the Automobile Became a Public Danger
Traffic death Β· 1910 Β· 1920 Β· 1930 Β· 5,346 articles
Across three decades, traffic death moves from speed mania toward policing β€” without ever fully becoming a story about infrastructure.
39.8 β†’ 31.4  accident-inevitability salience as enforcement rose, 1910 β†’ 1930
09
How a Moral Crusade Became a Governance Problem
Prohibition Β· 1919 Β· 1920 Β· 1933 Β· 22,912 articles
Prohibition's moral career, traced from mandate at ratification through enforcement to regulated repeal fourteen years later.
54.0  regulated-repeal salience at the 1933 repeal, the era's dominant frame

About this booklet

Written by Vishal Singh (NYU Stern School of Business). Each investigation is a single self-contained HTML file β€” data, D3 charts, and typography inlined, with no external requests β€” so any chapter can be hosted, moved, or read on its own. This front matter is the only page that links out to them. The underlying parquet slices, aggregation SQL, validation gates, and data cards live in the companion hf-stories repository.

Source & method

Corpus: American Stories (Chronicling America / Library of Congress). Contextual measurement: GABRIEL with GPT-4o mini at temperature 0, relevance screened separately from construct scoring, estimates reprint-cluster weighted. Method detail: What American Stories Can Represent.

Reuse & citation

American Stories and these articles are released under CC BY 4.0.